This market resolves to Yes if the Hang Seng Index records any value strictly below 20,000 at any time during regular Hong Kong trading hours on or before 31 May 2026, based on the official real-time or end-of-day index level published by Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited. Intraday levels count; it does not need to close below 20,000.

This market allows participants to express a view on whether the Hang Seng Index will breach the 20,000 downside threshold within the specified period.

Market Closing Time (GMT)

2026-05-31 23:59:59 GMT

Sources

Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited official index levels and historical data
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) market data and notices
Reuters market data
Bloomberg market data
CNBC
Financial Times

Available Outcomes

Yes
No

Resolution Criteria

Yes — If the Hang Seng Index records any official index level strictly below 20,000 at any time during regular Hong Kong trading hours on or before 31 May 2026.
No — If the Hang Seng Index does not record any official level strictly below 20,000 during that period.
An intraday reading below 20,000 is sufficient to resolve this market to Yes, even if the index later rebounds and closes above 20,000.

Void Condition

This market will be void if the Hang Seng Index calculation or publication, or the Hong Kong equity market, is materially disrupted such that it is not possible to reliably determine whether the index traded strictly below 20,000 during the relevant period, including but not limited to a prolonged trading suspension, emergency index methodology change, or sustained official data publication outage.