In early October 2025, a conflict occurred on the Taipei Metro involving a priority seat: an elderly woman requested a seat but was refused, leading to a physical altercation with a long-haired male passenger. The incident went viral online and sparked widespread public debate. It was later revealed that the woman was a wanted fugitive, while the male passenger—nicknamed “Fumi Auntie”—unexpectedly rose to internet fame.

The incident ignited intense discussion over whether priority seats should be more clearly regulated. Some citizens called for mandatory seat-giving, while others emphasized personal choice and the need to avoid public shaming or conflict. Media outlets, netizens, and scholars urged the Metro company and transportation authorities to reexamine current guidelines.

This prediction market aims to determine whether, before 11:59 PM on December 31, 2026, Taiwan’s Metro system will officially revise its priority seat usage guidelines (e.g., clearer definitions of eligible users, signage updates, public campaigns, or seat design changes).

✅ If “Yes” is chosen: It means that by the specified time, the Taipei Metro or relevant transportation authorities have officially announced revised guidelines, including but not limited to:

Clear definitions of who qualifies for priority seating (e.g., elderly, pregnant, disabled)
New signage, slogans, or seat designations
New policies or regulations confirmed via official websites, press releases, or media reports

❌ If “No” is chosen: It means that by the specified time, no official revisions have been announced, or only informal suggestions, public proposals, or non-binding statements have been made.

📌 Determination Criteria:

Official announcements from Taipei Metro
Policy documents from the Ministry of Transportation or Taipei City Department of Transportation
Reports from mainstream media (e.g., United Daily News, Liberty Times, TVBS, SET News)
Posts from official social media platforms (e.g., Facebook, X, YouTube)