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Starting from the end of 2025, national transportation authorities expect the 2026 Spring Festival travel rush to hit a historic high. With consumer spending recovering and the family reunion season in full swing, travel demand is unprecedented.

If the total nationwide travel volume during Spring Festival exceeds 4 billion trips, the market outcome is “Yes”; otherwise, it is “No.”

Deadline: March 15, 2026, 12:00 (UTC+8)
Resolution Sources: The official report from China’s Ministry of Transport summarizing Spring Festival travel data will be used.

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If the total nationwide travel volume during Spring Festival exceeds 4 billion trips, the market outcome is “Yes”; otherwise, it is “No.”

Deadline: March 15, 2026, 12:00 (UTC+8)
Resolution Sources: The official report from China’s Ministry of Transport summarizing Spring Festival travel data will be used.

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If the total nationwide travel volume during Spring Festival exceeds 4 billion trips, the market outcome is “Yes”; otherwise, it is “No.”

Deadline: March 15, 2026, 12:00 (UTC+8)
Resolution Sources: The official report from China’s Ministry of Transport summarizing Spring Festival travel data will be used.

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