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This market tracks whether Hong Kong will experience another “major gold theft” between October 2025 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

If such an incident is confirmed before the deadline, the market will resolve to “Yes.”
If no such incident occurs, or it does not meet the criteria, the market will resolve to “No.”

Definition of “Major Gold Theft”:

The incident must meet at least one of the following conditions:

The total value of stolen gold is ≥ HKD 5 million;
The incident is officially reported by the Hong Kong Police Force and widely covered by major media outlets (e.g., South China Morning Post, RTHK, Reuters, BBC, etc.).

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This market tracks whether Hong Kong will experience another “major gold theft” between October 2025 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

If such an incident is confirmed before the deadline, the market will resolve to “Yes.”
If no such incident occurs, or it does not meet the criteria, the market will resolve to “No.”

Definition of “Major Gold Theft”:

The incident must meet at least one of the following conditions:

The total value of stolen gold is ≥ HKD 5 million;
The incident is officially reported by the Hong Kong Police Force and widely covered by major media outlets (e.g., South China Morning Post, RTHK, Reuters, BBC, etc.).

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This market tracks whether Hong Kong will experience another “major gold theft” between October 2025 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

If such an incident is confirmed before the deadline, the market will resolve to “Yes.”
If no such incident occurs, or it does not meet the criteria, the market will resolve to “No.”

Definition of “Major Gold Theft”:

The incident must meet at least one of the following conditions:

The total value of stolen gold is ≥ HKD 5 million;
The incident is officially reported by the Hong Kong Police Force and widely covered by major media outlets (e.g., South China Morning Post, RTHK, Reuters, BBC, etc.).

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